Archive | September 30, 2011

10 UTC September 30, 2011 Typhoon Nalgae Update (Addendum)

Just a brief Text Update for Nalgae. For more info on this storm as well as on Tropical Storm Nesat, please see the Video Update I’ve posted an hour ago.

Typhoon Nalgae (Quiel) continues to quickly intensify over the Philippine Sea. The center was last located approximately 650km northeast of Manila, 510km east southeast of Aparri, or about 490km east of Tuguegarao. Nalgae is moving westward at 25kph. Maximum sustained winds are now at 175kph gusting to 220kph. This makes Nalgae a Category 2 typhoon.

As of 5pm today, PAGASA has now raised Signal #3 for Cagayan and Isabela. Signal #2 for Northern Aurora, Quirino, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Apayao, Calayan Group of Islands, and Babuyan Group of Island. Signal #1 for Rest of Aurora, Nueva Vizcaya, Pangasinan, Benguet, La Union, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and Abra.
Nalgae is forecast to continue intensifying and could become a Major Category 3 Typhoon later tonight. It will likely maintain that intensity as it makes landfall tomorrow in the Cagayan/Isabela Border. Nalgae will then move through these provinces and into Kalinga-Apayo, Abra and weakening to a Cat 1 by the afternoon, and exit through Ilocos Norte by Saturday evening. It should exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Sunday.
Forecast Timeline

9-10am: Landfall in Cagayan/Isabela, around 50km east of Tuguegarao
10-11am: Moving over Tuguegarao as a Category 2
11-12pm: Moving over Kalinga-Apayao, north of Tabuk
12-1pm: Weakening to a Category 1 over the Cordillera Mountains
1-2pm: Moving over Abra
2-3pm: Moving northeast of Bangued
3-4pm: Moving over Ilocos Norte
4-5pm: Moving 50km south of Laoag
5-6pm: Exiting into South China Sea

Please remember that timeline above is only based on the current forecasts and present movement of Nalgae. Always make sure to listen to the news for OFFICIAL warnings and advisories specifically for your area.

Stay safe, everyone!
-WxCaster PAT

09 UTC September 30, 2011 TS Nesat and TY Nalgae Video Update

Latest Video Update on Tropical Storm Nesat which has made landfall in Northeastern Vietnam and Typhoon Nalgae moving across the Philippine Sea. We will put out a brief text update in about half an hour that will contain the latest Signal Warnings from PAGASA.

-WxCaster PAT

Typhoon Nalgae, Tropical Storm Nesat 30 SEP 2011 Video Update 03UTC

Typhoon Nalgae has increased in strength and now brings the potentiol of above 100kt winds and heavy rains to the Philippines this weekend. Meanwhile Nesat is moving on shore to vietnam where it is expected to produce flooding across the region. Nesat passed Hong Kong yesterday cuasing 25 injures but thankfully no deaths. Unlike the Philippines where 33 people have now been reported dead due to the flooding Nesat brought to the country. Below is the rainfall totals from Nesat.